As usual, the man put it in words better than I ever could. AI is utterly fascinating, and yet I can’t help but feel a bit uneasy about the progress that’s being made currently. This isn’t going to go away, this is going to become huge. And I’m not sure whether it’s in a good or bad way.
Check out the recent [WAN Show](https://youtu.be/AxAAJnp5yms?t=2006) for an example of how scary good AI will be for something as innocuous as web searching.
putting together professional emails and communications is fine, im more concerned with what it means for rampant misinformation that is even more difficult to deal with
I’m a consultant who works with advanced optical network equipment. Some of it is leading edge and some of it is bleeding edge that *may* get wide acceptance. My conversation with ChatGPT the other day was very natural feeling. I asked it a highly technical question that I already knew the answer to and it got it 90% right. I then asked about the one thing that it didnt get right and sure enough it responded like another expert might by saying “my apologies, you are correct, <insert correct explanation>”. So if you think you couldnt be replaced by AI, I think you might be in for a shock sometime in the future.
We’ve already seen how gullible some people can be when it comes to fun, politically-aligned conspiracies.
I can easily imagine AI and search engine algorithms working together to create a “parallel universe” of bespoke content designed to psychologically kite certain people towards certain viewpoints.
I mean, people didn’t need evidence to believe Obama was born in Kenya. They just went along with it. Now imagine AIs feeling certain blogs, forums, and social media feeds with hyperealistic memes, video, and audio. There will be fact-checking certainly, but will it happen quick enough? Or will certain people care?
Deep fakes are the most terrifying result of AI to me. What happens when the deep fakes are indistinguishable from the real thing? The only way to know for certain that something was said is to literally witness it. Conversly, whats to stop bad actors/terrorists from releasing a deep fake of a candidate “caught on a hot mic” saying something crazy a week before an election? People are already so susceptible to misinformation that can easily be disproven with a simple google search.
Growing up you would always hear older people talking about how much the world has changed since they were a kid and you think “It can’t be that much different” but then seeing how much the world has changed and continues to change since I was a kid is both astounding and a little terrifying looking forward. The technological advances that are made seem to just keep getting crazier and crazier like an avalanche that doesn’t end. I can’t even imagine what the world will look like in another 10-20 years and AI is probably going to be one of the biggest factors in that which is what makes it so scary.
[The wars of the future will not be fought on the battlefield or at sea. They will be fought in space, or possibly on top of a very tall mountain. In any case, most actual fighting will be done by small robots, and as you go forth today remember your duty is clear: to build and maintain those robots.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oazwTDeqF54)
If AI is indeed at the bottom of the curve, the world is going to change to a degree that I feel no one can know.
If you’ve been around recently there’s been a really convincing voice AI floating around, couple that with chat gpt to impersonate someone. You are talking fraud out the ass and people being friends or lovers with AI that simulates a celebrity’s personality. Along with deepfakes you could have you celebrity crush as your partner in every way but physical.
Man I hate gmail’s tags as well. All I want is *an option* to make it so an email can only have 1 tag assigned to it. It’s basically impossible to properly categorize all the emails I get, and incredibly frustrating when an email keeps showing up all over the place. I’ve got filter rules so long they span multiple lines just trying to make it so that 1 email from a specific domain only shows up under that one tag, and only one tag.
or at least let order my rules by priority and have an option that ‘removes all other tags’ before applying a new tag. It’s just so dumb…
I work in technology and have had a healthy skepticism about messianic-sounding trends like blockchain, augmented reality, internet of things. They’re fun, but put on wait-and-see watchlist. OpenAI and ChatGPT feel very different to me, and like Tom, I have a hair-on-my-neck sense of impending sea change.
I think we’re on the bottom of the curve, or very near it. It’s got that same feeling as the early internet had, imo.
The next decade is gunna be so interesting.
And probably not good interesting. The AI tools being created, can absolutely be used for evil. There’s ones that can both mimic peoples voices, and take a video and alter peoples faces so their lips match the altered voice.
And again, we’re just (imo) at the bottom of the curve.. These new tools are coming out, and improving month by month right now.
Soon we won’t be able to trust any video we see online.
That only benefits those doing bad.
The person that gets caught doing bad things? Well that’s not him, that’s AI generated.
The person that wants to make it seem like someone is doing bad things? Well they can AI generate a convincing video to make it look that way.
In 1995 the information age started to pick up steam.
Well right now we’re entering the misinformation age, and it’s not going to be anywhere near as pleasant.
These AI tools are already insanely powerful, moreso than anyone could have predicted even 20 years ago.
The question is how much stronger they can still get. We have seen a lot of AI shenanigans this past month with what AI tools can achieve, from making Art, to mimicking people’s voices with as little as 30 second clips of their voice, to generating a full on Seinfeld episode, deepfaking people’s faces, let alone ChatGPT’s ability to deliver generally accurate information about the topics it’s asked about.
Is AI scary? Not yet. So far, we can still tell the difference and the immersion is inevitably broken. But there is a very solid chance that these tools might soon become strong enough to put words in other people mouths, fully impersonate them, to the point where even they might ask themselves if all that they are as a being can just be replaced by a bunch of machinery.
Information wars in politics come to mind as well.
If and when the time comes, we can all only pray that these tools don’t fall into the wrong hands.
As usual, the man put it in words better than I ever could. AI is utterly fascinating, and yet I can’t help but feel a bit uneasy about the progress that’s being made currently. This isn’t going to go away, this is going to become huge. And I’m not sure whether it’s in a good or bad way.
learn to prompt. it will be a crucial skill soon.
Check out the recent [WAN Show](https://youtu.be/AxAAJnp5yms?t=2006) for an example of how scary good AI will be for something as innocuous as web searching.
putting together professional emails and communications is fine, im more concerned with what it means for rampant misinformation that is even more difficult to deal with
Yeah. OK. I’m not going to retire as a *legal counsel* 30 years from now.
I mean, scared isn’t the word for me, but I acknowledge I’m going to made utterly redundant by it inside the next decade.
I’m a consultant who works with advanced optical network equipment. Some of it is leading edge and some of it is bleeding edge that *may* get wide acceptance. My conversation with ChatGPT the other day was very natural feeling. I asked it a highly technical question that I already knew the answer to and it got it 90% right. I then asked about the one thing that it didnt get right and sure enough it responded like another expert might by saying “my apologies, you are correct, <insert correct explanation>”. So if you think you couldnt be replaced by AI, I think you might be in for a shock sometime in the future.
We’ve already seen how gullible some people can be when it comes to fun, politically-aligned conspiracies.
I can easily imagine AI and search engine algorithms working together to create a “parallel universe” of bespoke content designed to psychologically kite certain people towards certain viewpoints.
I mean, people didn’t need evidence to believe Obama was born in Kenya. They just went along with it. Now imagine AIs feeling certain blogs, forums, and social media feeds with hyperealistic memes, video, and audio. There will be fact-checking certainly, but will it happen quick enough? Or will certain people care?
Deep fakes are the most terrifying result of AI to me. What happens when the deep fakes are indistinguishable from the real thing? The only way to know for certain that something was said is to literally witness it. Conversly, whats to stop bad actors/terrorists from releasing a deep fake of a candidate “caught on a hot mic” saying something crazy a week before an election? People are already so susceptible to misinformation that can easily be disproven with a simple google search.
Growing up you would always hear older people talking about how much the world has changed since they were a kid and you think “It can’t be that much different” but then seeing how much the world has changed and continues to change since I was a kid is both astounding and a little terrifying looking forward. The technological advances that are made seem to just keep getting crazier and crazier like an avalanche that doesn’t end. I can’t even imagine what the world will look like in another 10-20 years and AI is probably going to be one of the biggest factors in that which is what makes it so scary.
[The wars of the future will not be fought on the battlefield or at sea. They will be fought in space, or possibly on top of a very tall mountain. In any case, most actual fighting will be done by small robots, and as you go forth today remember your duty is clear: to build and maintain those robots.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oazwTDeqF54)
If AI is indeed at the bottom of the curve, the world is going to change to a degree that I feel no one can know.
If you’ve been around recently there’s been a really convincing voice AI floating around, couple that with chat gpt to impersonate someone. You are talking fraud out the ass and people being friends or lovers with AI that simulates a celebrity’s personality. Along with deepfakes you could have you celebrity crush as your partner in every way but physical.
Man I hate gmail’s tags as well. All I want is *an option* to make it so an email can only have 1 tag assigned to it. It’s basically impossible to properly categorize all the emails I get, and incredibly frustrating when an email keeps showing up all over the place. I’ve got filter rules so long they span multiple lines just trying to make it so that 1 email from a specific domain only shows up under that one tag, and only one tag.
or at least let order my rules by priority and have an option that ‘removes all other tags’ before applying a new tag. It’s just so dumb…
Online interactions are about to become meaningless, you’ll never be able to know what you’re talking to.
We’re outsourcing humanity in a way that terrifies me.
I work in technology and have had a healthy skepticism about messianic-sounding trends like blockchain, augmented reality, internet of things. They’re fun, but put on wait-and-see watchlist. OpenAI and ChatGPT feel very different to me, and like Tom, I have a hair-on-my-neck sense of impending sea change.
I think we’re on the bottom of the curve, or very near it. It’s got that same feeling as the early internet had, imo.
The next decade is gunna be so interesting.
And probably not good interesting. The AI tools being created, can absolutely be used for evil. There’s ones that can both mimic peoples voices, and take a video and alter peoples faces so their lips match the altered voice.
And again, we’re just (imo) at the bottom of the curve.. These new tools are coming out, and improving month by month right now.
Soon we won’t be able to trust any video we see online.
That only benefits those doing bad.
The person that gets caught doing bad things? Well that’s not him, that’s AI generated.
The person that wants to make it seem like someone is doing bad things? Well they can AI generate a convincing video to make it look that way.
In 1995 the information age started to pick up steam.
Well right now we’re entering the misinformation age, and it’s not going to be anywhere near as pleasant.
Society is severely struggling to get used to three dimensions of technology. AI feels like a 4th.
It’s barely started and we’re already trying to abuse it.
I think saying Morpheus, Grokster, Limewire, and Kazaa in that order was a nod to Weird Al’s “don’t download this song” but I can’t prove it.
“I’ve come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions to technologies:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that’s invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you’re thirty-five is against the natural order of things.”
—Douglas Adams
These AI tools are already insanely powerful, moreso than anyone could have predicted even 20 years ago.
The question is how much stronger they can still get. We have seen a lot of AI shenanigans this past month with what AI tools can achieve, from making Art, to mimicking people’s voices with as little as 30 second clips of their voice, to generating a full on Seinfeld episode, deepfaking people’s faces, let alone ChatGPT’s ability to deliver generally accurate information about the topics it’s asked about.
Is AI scary? Not yet. So far, we can still tell the difference and the immersion is inevitably broken. But there is a very solid chance that these tools might soon become strong enough to put words in other people mouths, fully impersonate them, to the point where even they might ask themselves if all that they are as a being can just be replaced by a bunch of machinery.
Information wars in politics come to mind as well.
If and when the time comes, we can all only pray that these tools don’t fall into the wrong hands.